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  #21  
Old 08-12-2008, 12:51 AM
Gold
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
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Texas Bill Level 2 Texas Bill Level 2 (102)
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It's possible that we're not considering several of the underlying factors in our summaries here. That's the one of the increasing number of "scandals" in the operation of the government and the rising crime rate in the large population centers, not to mention those outside those areas. That coupled with the latest "bruhaha" with the transportation unions and the physicians, investors are begining to take note and pulling back on the number of dollars and euros for permanent investment.
And, needless to say, the failure of Leonel to follow up on campaign promises, both from 2004 and 2008 (the electricity problem, which has been ongoing for a generation).
All this put together tends to lead investors, and the population alike, to the conclusion that things aren't as stable as the government pretends.

Texas Bill
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  #22  
Old 08-18-2008, 05:29 PM
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FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 (556)
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How many Dominican Pesos do you figure the US Dollar will get by April of 2009?
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  #23  
Old 08-21-2008, 10:27 PM
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Texas Bill Level 2 Texas Bill Level 2 (102)
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There has been speculation on other threads that the exchange rate will end up somewhere around 42-47 to 1. Check today's Dominican Today pub andread those posts .
Sounds likely to me.
Anyone else agree (or, disagree)???

Texas Bill
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  #24  
Old 08-22-2008, 02:33 PM
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FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 FernieBee Level 7 (556)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Texas Bill View Post
There has been speculation on other threads that the exchange rate will end up somewhere around 42-47 to 1. Check today's Dominican Today pub andread those posts .
Sounds likely to me.
Anyone else agree (or, disagree)???

Texas Bill
I think you're referring to this.
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  #25  
Old 08-23-2008, 02:26 AM
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Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 Lambada Level 9 (1003)
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Also factor in rising interest rates:
http://www.elcaribecdn.com/articulo_...043&Seccion=69
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  #26  
Old 08-24-2008, 12:04 PM
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rubio_higuey Level 5 rubio_higuey Level 5 rubio_higuey Level 5 rubio_higuey Level 5 rubio_higuey Level 5 (423)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lambada View Post
Also factor in rising interest rates:
http://www.elcaribecdn.com/articulo_...043&Seccion=69
Rising interest rates lower the exchange rate. So that would be a mitigating., not supporting factor.

When interest rates rise, foreign capital comes. Foreign capital needs to buy pesos, so there is large supply of dollars/euros/whatever. Large supply of foreign currency (capital inflow) for the same amount of local currency raises the exchange rate of foreign currency to local currency, and lowers (appreciates) the exchange rate of local currency - e.g. 1:35 -> 1:34

When interest rates fall, exchange rates of local currency rise (depreciate).

Example was the U.S. dollar against Euro, where lots of money was moved from the U.S. to outside because U.S. Fed rate was lowered and lowered. The capital outflow resulted in dollar falling against Euro and Pound. The interest rates were lowered to jump start the economy when the recession started, and to easy the wave of bankruptcies.

Now the DR CB is rising the interest rates, which is usually done to stop the exchange rate increase (depreciation) as a mitigating factor (when exchange rate is depreciating too rapidly (negative point) it is a mitigating factor. At Zero point it is a factor affecting appreciation so the exchange rate falls).
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  #27  
Old 08-27-2008, 02:06 PM
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ExtremeR Level 5 ExtremeR Level 5 ExtremeR Level 5 ExtremeR Level 5 (380)
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Take this with a grain of salt, but I heard Euri Cabral today in Gobierno de la Manana that the Central Bank Governor Valdez Albizu told him that this recent surge in interest rates was a temporary fix to the extreme amount of money circulating in the streets due to the elections campaign pushing the payment balance, and that in a matter of 3-4 months interest rates would go down again.
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  #28  
Old 08-27-2008, 03:11 PM
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hi-tec Level 1 (10)
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How much % in CB (Banco Central) paying for DOLLAR cd, (for PESO I understand is about 16-18%)

and what is good website to keep track...
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  #29  
Old 08-27-2008, 05:13 PM
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A.Hidalgo Level 4 A.Hidalgo Level 4 A.Hidalgo Level 4 (279)
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Go here.............

Banco Central de la República Dominicana
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  #30  
Old 08-27-2008, 08:54 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 126
hi-tec Level 1 (10)
Default What about dollar ?

Thanks Gold!

i don't know how I missed the page when visiting BC site...

but i want to compare with interest paid for DOLLARS,

or is Banco Reservas the only good bank accpeting DOLLARS?.

have not visited BR website yet.
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