Tropical Storm Lisa

[Ken]

What was Tropical Depression 13 is now Tropical Storm Lisa as per the 8 am advisory. Still a long way off, but something to keep an eye on this week. Here is the 5 am track projection http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics...F/200853W5.gif

My personal very long range forecast is that it will not come close enough to the north coast to be a problem.

[Ken]

Lisa is still too far away to deserve regular reports, but I thought I should update my first post.

Lisa is described by the storm trackers at the National Hurricane Center as a "smaller than average tropical cyclone'". Winds now up to 60 mph and it is possible it will become a hurricane later today or tomorrow. However, conditions aloft are expected to prevent it from rapid strengthening during the 5 day period.

Currently, the forecasters expect it to follow a west-northwest/west track during at least the next 5 days http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics...F/201458W5.gif

If it stays on this track and remains organized through this week, then next week it will be a storm we will want to keep our eye on.

Small, tight storms like Lisa, say the forecaster, are subject to sharp changes in intensity, both with respect to strengthening and weakening.

[Dolores]

Most of the computer models show it going north. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...413_model.html

Only one has it going west, but even that model cannot forecast this far in advance.

So, it is a storm to monitor closely. Need to give it a few days to see if it will head northward.

Regardless, this is a hurricane season to be remembered and talked about for years in the Caribbean, an incredible fistfight with the Caribbean islands that have been affected by major storms or floodings:
Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Grenada, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, St. Lucia, Trinidad & Tobago, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Turks & Caicos... Not to mention Florida. Who else is missing for a punch?

[KateP]

Originally Posted by Dolores

Most of the computer models show it going north. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...413_model.html

Only one has it going west, but even that model cannot forecast this far in advance.

So, it is a storm to monitor closely. Need to give it a few days to see if it will head northward.

Regardless, this is a hurricane season to be remembered and talked about for years in the Caribbean, an incredible fistfight with the Caribbean islands that have been affected by major storms or floodings:
Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Grenada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, St. Lucia, Trinidad & Tobago, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Turks & Caicos... Not to mention Florida. Who else is missing for a punch?

Don't forget Haiti. I understand they've got over 250 dead so far...

[Dolores]

Computer models today show Lisa still looking it will avoid the Caribbean. See http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...413_model.html

Also http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/hu...e/track_e.html

Looks like DR is in for some good sunny weather for the rest of the week.

[Pedro2004]

Originally Posted by Dolores

Computer models today show Lisa still looking it will avoid the Caribbean. See http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...413_model.html

Also http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/hu...e/track_e.html

Looks like DR is in for some good sunny weather for the rest of the week.

It looks like it but I fear a stronger storm trailing Lisa that will even a absorb it. Something to look for and consider when deciding to travel or not.

[tired_boy]

Originally Posted by Dolores

Looks like DR is in for some good sunny weather for the rest of the week.

I can guarantee you that it will be sunny this week now because i have just arived back home in the UK today after closely following Ivan and being blown about by Jean.

[Dolores]

Computer models track for Lisa are looking good for DR. Of course, we need to continue to monitor this storm.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/wea...s/storm_13.gif