Forecasters: Tropical cyclone possible

[Tracy]

I just read on CNN's site of a storm system brewing in the central Caribbean.
Forecasters say it could develope into a tropical cyclone this week while dropping heavy rain, causing dangerous flodding and mudslides on Puerto Rico adn the island of Hispaniola.

I sure hope that this does not happen.....

Tracy

[Dolores]

Originally Posted by Tracy

I just read on CNN's site of a storm system brewing in the central Caribbean.
Forecasters say it could develope into a tropical cyclone this week while dropping heavy rain, causing dangerous flodding and mudslides on Puerto Rico adn the island of Hispaniola.

I sure hope that this does not happen.....

Tracy

If it develops, looks like it will be once it passes us. See NHC details at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml? (probably one of our weather people could explain all this jumble).

From what I read, it means that we will have lots of rain.

At least in Santo Domingo, what we have had so far today is lots of wind.

Posted earlier about this system, and you can see a link with all the humidity at http://dr1.com/forums/showthread.php?t=34524&page=4

[Dolores]

Also see the satellite photo at http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/satell...images=1&clf=1

that shows what a big system it is.

[Dolores]

Another good satellite snapshots for weather buffs at http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/d...ENT=LATEST.jpg

The good news that I read is that the system has a northeastward track.

[BushBaby]

So much for the "Hurricane season is over" statement just over a week ago!!! I must admit that at the time I thought that a rash statement, especially as I was always under the impression the Caribbean Hurricane season officially lasted until the 30th November!! I also seem to recall we had a small hurricane last year during the first week of DECEMBER!!!

Wishful thinking, listening to what "A friend told me" & rumour in the DR are NEVER a good idea to base statements on!!! Always allow for the "Embuggeration Factor"!! ~ Grahame.

[Ken]

You must be having a dull day, Dolores, to go searching for such a (at present) poorly formed "storm".

Next thing will be a flood of messages from people asking if they should cancel their vacation reservations because of the "hurricane".

BushBaby, not sure about last year, but we have had hurricanes in December. As I recall, one hit the Virgin Islands not too many years ago.

[Chris]

Bushbaby, I'm sure our friendly weather folks will say something when there is something to say.... At the moment, there is nothing to say. Tomorrow may be different.

From Noah today...

1130 AM EST WED NOV 10 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE TO
DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD. THE AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
ORIGINALLY SCHEDULED FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELED. HOWEVER
...ANOTHER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THURSDAY
...IF NECESSARY. EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT DEVELOP...
THE SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...POSSIBLY CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ACROSS PUERTO RICO...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LESSER ANTILLES OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFAT2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.

ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE THE
NORTHWESTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE
SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE COASTAL REGIONS OF COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE..TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

[Tracy]

Originally Posted by Ken

You must be having a dull day, Dolores, to go searching for such a (at present) poorly formed "storm".

Next thing will be a flood of messages from people asking if they should cancel their vacation reservations because of the "hurricane".

BushBaby, not sure about last year, but we have had hurricanes in December. As I recall, one hit the Virgin Islands not too many years ago.

I'm sure she did that for me.. I only started the thread because of my concerns for more flooding to an area that isn't even 100% back from the last one.

Tracy

[Dolores]

Sorry, Ken, I am a weather buff. It fascinates me. Also, I find it strange that already in October we were having Christmas-time chilly weather.

Despite the satellite pictures, Santo Domingo had a beautiful weather day. After noon, the clouds moved on (probably with the winds we had) and we had a blue blue sky day. As said above, the forecast was for the bad weather to move northeast and apparently that is what it did to tell for the good weather day we had today.

As explained above, does not look like a storm will head our way.

[ustelephone]

Originally Posted by Dolores

Sorry, Ken, I am a weather buff. It fascinates me. Also, I find it strange that already in October we were having Christmas-time chilly weather.

Despite the satellite pictures, Santo Domingo had a beautiful weather day. After noon, the clouds moved on (probably with the winds we had) and we had a blue blue sky day. As said above, the forecast was for the bad weather to move northeast and apparently that is what it did to tell for the good weather day we had today.

As explained above, does not look like a storm will head our way.

Dolores, I appreciate you and your reports. Keep it up.

Tourists: It is okay, tropical weather goes great with Presidente. Come on down.