OK, subtropical storm Olga is on its way to us and the Noaa has started formal advisories. Average winds currently is at around 35 miles per hour, as measured by Noaa boys near to the US Virgin Islands.
Currently the center of Olga is about 55 miles East of San Juan, Puerto Rico and about 300 miles East of Santo Domingo. This is near 18.5 North and 65.3 West and the position is accurate with 15 nautical miles ... around 16.5 miles. The center should reach us on Tuesday.
SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF OLGA REACHES THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
We're looking at a general west-southwestward track, which would put the system right across the DR as can be seen here.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/023211.shtml?3day?large#contents
It looks like Olga will skirt the Samana region, side-swipe most of the Eastern side of the Island and go up the southern coast. The DR met office early on has declared a tropical storm warning for the North Coast and a tropical storm watch for the Southern Coast. I agree, as it was not sure before now what we were dealing with. so rather be safe than sorry. It is clear that a 'heads-up' is necessary. ALL of these areas will get more than usual rain.
The present movement is toward the West at 13 knots or just a tad less than 15 miles per hour. So, we have a little slow down here since the previous advisories.
Maximum sustained winds are 35 to 40 knots .. just around 40 miles or a little more per hour.
Again, the water is in the tail end, to the North of where the storm is. Usually we look at just the North Coast, or the East or the South, but I think we should all be alert because of the distribution of water in the system.
Currently it looks like rainfall of 4 to 6 inches with isolated amounts of up to 10 inches. But this may be revised upward as time goes on.
Olga
