watching that since a couple days,
it is collecting clouds/water,
now as wide as the lesser antilles are high,
still no thunderstorms activity there,
the disurbance fights with heaviest windshears for the next days.
after the weekend the windshear over the caribbean Sea will go down a lot,
the formation is on a straight westward track into the caribbean Sea,
so if it survives the weekend a development into TD or TS is very possible,
by then south of Hispaniola running under very favorable conditions with high water temps under it.
other spots of possible disturbances are located in the southern and western caribbean Sea, but none near Hispaniola to effect anything by now.
on our highway from Cape Verde Islands to the eastern caribbean
the non favorable conditions for TS development will continue for several more days, i would say til end of this weekend, that would make it a week without anything out there mid-end september, not a bad idea.
conditions on half way from west africa towards the caribbean will start to change early next week, so our little ´pause´may be over by around mid week.
hard to say who will make the race to get the name ¨Kyle¨, the central caribbean or the mid atlantic?
happy eve
Mike
(26)
(578)
