Quote:
Originally Posted by rayleeds
Errrrrrrrrrr fewer Atlantic Hurricanes may be the clue
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Other than fewer and less intense hurricanes due to wind shear of the jet stream westerly flow inhibiting development.
Some areas have more rain as in California and other areas are drier, which after my own research appears to be the case for the DR.
Historical Stats
August 97 El Nino. In the Dominican Republic, well below average precipitation in July has reduced water reservoir levels for planting of the secondary irrigated rice crop. Dry weather has also affected minor rainfed maize and sorghum, and other foodcrops.
Sept 97 El Nino Well-distributed normal rains since late September, particularly abundant in the south and south-western areas, typical of the hurricane season, have brought much needed moisture relief to the rainfed crops and contributed to replenish water reservoirs, some of them at critically low levels, for planting of the main irrigated paddy crop to be started in December. More rains are forecast in the weeks ahead, specially in the area from Montecristi in the north-west to Samaná in the north-east. Crops and pastures have been affected by almost 9 months of dry weather attributed to El Niño-related effects. The Government is involved in the purchase and sale of agricultural food items. Price increases have been reported in some markets during the prolonged dry period.
Since the 1997 El Nino began in early spring of '97, the drier conditions which were generated could effect agriculture production throughout the year.
So it appears we can be in for a dry period which will impact agriculture production here and food prices will more than likely rise. Whether or not the peak of Hurricane Season can still produce some good rains in September/October remains to be seen.
Any other thoughts to add?
Fewer Atlantic Hurricanes?
