Lots going on, but nothing happening

[MikeFisher]

the little weak tropical wave is stil existant and moves through the Caribbean Sea as a rainreservoir, no heavy thunderstorms inside, but water.

Tropical Depression #2 is nearly dead, died due to the dry SAL (Sahara Dust) on it's north and west, further development very unlikely and anyways this depression would not have been on any track towards any landmass.

Invest 90L is the one to watch,
i mentioned it in prior postings as my best guess candidate to get named Ana early next week.
90L is not called a tropical depression due to non-thunderstorm-acyivity near it's center, Yet.
90L shows a clear circulation and has a big band of heavy thunderstorms on it's north and also a broad band of heavy thunderstorms to it's south.
90L is located at least 150 miles south of the hindering dry SAL,
windshear not over 20 knots and expected to be just 5-15 knots for the next couple days, fav SST's of 27.5C are good for a slow development and will rise during the next days.
far away but the one worth to watch.
it could be a candidate to pass near the northern Lesser Antilles as a strong tropical storm or even as a weak Cat 1 Hurricane.
August 13th 2009
and still nothing in vicinity.
a very late season this 2009.
Mike

[juanita]

LOTS of rain over Santo Domingo at the moment!

[MikeFisher]

we have clouds all day long in Cabeza de Toro, since this afternoon several short showers on and off and on and off.
it is the little Tropical Wave which moved over the lesser Antilles, falling apart, due that with it's rainload widespread, it is moving quickly today and tonight over hispaniola from southeast to northwest. i guess we finally get a share of rain from that everywhere, even on the northshore later on. maybe it even started there, too.
no wind involved, over here the wind is Zero, Ocean flatted down like a Plate.
btw Juanita,
are you the one who designed the Miniwiz??
just curious b/c a "Juanita" been mentioned with that one.
it looks great, like it a lot.
i am one of the directors of the Beyond the Beach Childrens Foundation,
that's why i ask.
looking forward to sunny weekend
Mike

[Hillbilly]

Things are heating up. a 50+ % of going tropical cyclone....southwest of Cape Verde Islands...

Hummm, maybe a week>>??

HB

[MikeFisher]

the lil wind of the tropical wave arrived,
but just gusts, at least the leafes on the palmtrees move a bit once in a while, most afternoon the wind been dead over here.
yes Luis,
90L is the first of the year with good chances to make it to a TS.
it should be a TD soon.
Mike

[juanita]

More rain over the city...Santo Domingo

[MikeFisher]

just took a look on the shots from 30 minutes ago.
the most southern rest is in the Barahona area, yes, i would guess you guys got some gusts or rain during this morning, here on the east it passed, we are on a sunny and very calm day, no wind aroound, Ocean completely flattened down.

formerly TD#2 shows now up just as a tropical wave, hurt by the SAL and high windshear, those unfavorable conditions will stay bad for the system during this weekend, but nonthless of all the conditions against it the area there is still trying to improve it's organization of thunderstorms around the center, it could be a TD again early weekend.

90L is still the same growing huge one, the circulation is there and in a very wide area. on it's north it is getting partially SAL sucked in, but not much due to the distance to the saharan air layer. on it's southern side the european sat shots show organized bands of strong thunderstorm activity. it's windforce is over 30mphr, that would mean to call it a TD, but still the thunderstorm activities are not present in the center, so it stays a Invest 90L by name.
it will be TD#3 very soon, before the weekend is over, very favorable surrounding conditions to increase power and get better organized, windshear is even expected to decrease more than it's anyways now favorable 15 knots.
Hurricane Hunters have a flight sheduled for TD#2 tomorrow morning, maybe they bring also data from 90L soon.
at the moment it is a organized TD#3 it's track will come clearer,
but it looks pretty well like a top candidate to be shortly after the weekend TS Ana and shortly afterwards the first hurricane of the season for the Atlantic Basin.
it can not be close to the Islands before wednesday.
by sunday we will know what it is up to.
Mike

[Hlywud]

Click the link to see any changes to the pictureAtlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook



Projected path

[RenatoSosua]

you can also have a look here:
http://www.stormpulse.com/fullscreen/current

[CG-LT]

TD-3 could be interesting, defiantly time to get prepared.